Friday Wrap
In plain terms: The biggest weekly move came from BWET at +16.9%, which helps show whether crude, equities, or shipping led the tape....
Source post
CL1 $71.64 +4.9% | Brent $76.72 +7.2% across the main crude-linked proxies. USO +4.8% | BNO +4.1% XLE +3.0% | XOP +3.1% See signals before the move ->
Follow-up context
In plain terms: The biggest weekly move came from BWET at +16.9%, which helps show whether crude, equities, or shipping led the tape....
Paths: Up if supply-risk headlines keep tightening inventories, Brent-WTI structure, cracks, and oil beta together. Flat if the headline premium stays mostly in crude while equities and physicals o...
More notes in the system
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w). SPR sits at 325.7 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1059.7 MMbbl. Commercial: 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w) SPR: 325.7 MMbbl (-5.5 w/w) Know if the inventory move is real ->
Monday Setup
WTI M1-M2 is sitting at 0.28$/bbl with a +0.13 move over the last five sessions. WTI M1-M2: 0.28$/bbl 5-session move: +0.13 In plain terms: Prompt structure is positive but not extreme, so the balance read is constructive without screaming shortage. See signals before the move ->
Wednesday EIA Check
Commercial US crude stocks are at 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w). SPR sits at 325.7 MMbbl, putting total crude stocks at 1059.7 MMbbl. Commercial: 734.0 MMbbl (-9.3 w/w) SPR: 325.7 MMbbl (-5.5 w/w) Know if the inventory move is real ->
